Islamic Politics Research

Islamic Politics Research

Developing and Validating the model of Political stability based on the Thought System of Ayatullah Khamenei : Presenting the Consistent Scenario in Post-War Conditions

Document Type : Original Article

Authors
1 Department of Politics, Qom Branch, Islamic Azad University, Qom, Iran
2 Department of Politics, Qom Branch, Islamic Azad Univeristy, Qom, Iran
10.22034/ipr.2026.552968.2317
Abstract
The intellectual foundations of the two leaders of the Islamic Revolution—anchored in revelatory sources, a monotheistic ontology, and an Iranian-Islamic epistemology—have endowed revolutionaries and policymakers with significant capacities. Yet, previous research indicates that these foundations have not been sufficiently developed in many functional dimensions, particularly in applying their leadership models to political and social systems. Given that preserving political and social stability is now an existential issue for Iran and the Revolution, this study seeks to address methodological and epistemic gaps in earlier works by extracting and validating a political–social stability model grounded in the thought and practice of the Leader of the Revolution, and by offering a suitable strategy for the country’s current situation. Employing structural equation modeling combined with scenario writing in a balanced effects matrix, the findings of confirmatory factor analysis identified four dimensions of stability—structural, mechanistic, epistemological, and pragmatic—encompassing 22 variables. The model demonstrated strong fit indices (χ² = 1.01; NFI = 0.93; CFI = 0.91; RMSEA = 0.01). Elite structural analysis further revealed a desirable scenario consisting of three axes: synergistic unity, centered on aligning the Revolution–Iran’s interests with diplomatic and field capacities; legitimacy enhancement, focused on raising ideological, normative, legal, and political awareness of the system’s performance; and strategic motivation, emphasizing the creation of enthusiasm, hope, and vitality for service, progress, and defense of national rights. These findings are consistent with the Leader’s orientations in the post–twelve-day war period and with prior scholarly media analyses.
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Volume 13, Issue 28
December 2026
Pages 6-7

  • Receive Date 12 October 2025
  • Revise Date 16 November 2025
  • Accept Date 10 February 2026